Search results for "interest rate risk"
showing 10 items of 11 documents
Integrated simulation and optimization models for tracking international fixed income indices
2001
Portfolio managers in the international fixed income markets must address jointly the interest rate risk in each market and the exchange rate volatility across markets. This paper develops integrated simulation and optimization models that address these issues in a common framework. Monte Carlo simulation procedures generate jointly scenarios of interest and exchange rates and, thereby, scenarios of holding period returns of the available securities. The portfolio manager’s risk tolerance is incorporated either through a utility function or a (modified) mean absolute deviation function. The optimization models prescribe asset allocation weights among the different markets and also resolve b…
Linear and nonlinear interest rate exposure in Spain
2010
PurposeThis paper aims to carry out a comprehensive analysis of the influence of interest rate risk on Spanish firms at the industry level.Design/methodology/approachThe methodology employed has its origin in the two‐index linear regression model proposed by Stone. This traditional interest rate exposure model has been extended in this paper to allow for a nonlinear exposure component as well as the presence of asymmetric behaviour in the exposure pattern.FindingsInterest rate exposure is not homogeneous for all the Spanish industries. In line with other markets, highly leveraged industries (construction and real estate), regulated industries (electrical and utilities), and banking industry…
Does Shariah compliance make interest rate sensitivity of Islamic equities lower? An industry level analysis under different market states
2018
This paper examines the sensitivity of the Dow Jones Islamic market index and its corresponding industry equity indices to changes in the level, slope and curvature of the U.S. term structure of in...
Linear and nonlinear interest rate sensitivity of Spanish banks
2011
Abstract Interest rate risk is one of the major financial risks faced by banks due to the very nature of the banking business. The most common approach in the literature has been to estimate the impact of interest rate risk on banks using a simple linear regression model. However, the relationship between interest rate changes and bank stock returns does not need to be exclusively linear. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate exposure of the Spanish banking industry employing both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods. Its main contribution is to use, for the first time in the context of banks’ interest rate risk, a nonparametric regression technique…
US stock market sensitivity to interest and inflation rates: a quantile regression approach
2016
ABSTRACTThis article studies the sensitivity of the US stock market to nominal and real interest rates and inflation during the 2003–2013 period using quantile regression (QR). The empirical results show that the stock market has a significant sensitivity to changes in interest rates and inflation and finds differences across sectors and over time. Moreover, the effect of changes in both interest rates and inflation tends to be more pronounced during extreme market conditions, thus distinguishing expansion periods from recession periods.
Efficiency in the eurobond market: application of nonparametric techniques
2007
The aim of this article is to analyse the efficiency of eurobond issuers within the primary market, from 1995 to 2000. The study includes a reference to theoretical discussion and to the methodology used; detailed explanation of the variables considered which, in order to supplement those strictly financial, include others such as spread from Interest Rate Risk (IRR) and respective swap; rating, duration and size; and macroeconomic fundamentals of the issuer country. Results and conclusions obtained from the static and dynamic efficiency analyses are then illustrated and discussed.
Impact of interest rate risk on the Spanish banking sector
2010
This paper examines the exposure of the Spanish banking sector to interest rate risk. With that aim, a univariate GARCH-M model, which takes into account not only the impact of interest rate changes but also the effect of their volatility on the distribution of bank stock returns, is used. The results show that both changes and volatility of interest rates have a negative and significant impact on the stock returns of the Spanish banking industry. Moreover, there seems to be a direct relationship between the size of banking firms and their degree of interest rate sensitivity.
Linear and Nonlinear Interest Rate Exposure of Spanish Firms
2006
This paper carries out a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate risk borne by the Spanish firms on a sector basis. The traditional linear interest rate exposure model has been extended to allow for the possibility of a nonlinear exposure component as well as the presence of asymmetric behaviour in the exposure pattern. The obtained results show a significant interest rate exposure for some sectors, especially with regard to changes in the long-term interest rates. Moreover, it is documented that the linear exposure profile prevails over the asymmetric and nonlinear exposure patterns. In particular, the Construction sector is the sector that shows the highest incidence of interest rate …
Interest Rate Risk in Banking: a Theoretical and Empirical Investigation through a Systemic Approach (Asset & Liability Management).
2013
The paper provides a theoretical analysis of the interest rate risk in banking through a systemic approach that is known in literature as “asset & liability management” approach. The paper provides also an empirical investigation on the exposure of banks to interest rate risk, using three different scenarios: parallel shift, slope shift, and bump shift of interest rate curves.
ANALYZING THE EUROPEAN MARKET OF INTEREST RATE SWAP INDICES
2012
The interest rate risk is the most important risk that derives from the OTC transactions, taking into consideration both the notional amounts and the market value of the financial derivatives that relies on interest rate contracts. Open positions on interest rate derivatives represents more than 75% of the OTC market. In the European banking market interest rate swaps prices are strongly dependent on the interbank interest rates. In this paper we want to analyze the behavior of the Eoniaswap indices and their impact on the interest rate swaps between banks.